Down to the Wire

At midnight tonight, the end of one of the most active senate campaign seasons will come to an end. students will be able to see the naked walls that were once covered by 21 faces, the sidewalks on campus will no longer have chalk that smears onto your shoes, and that quiet girl in history class will no longer be contemplating getting a restraining order from all those candidates stalking her for votes. That being said it's time for my final poll with confidence percentage next to it to showcase how that 9th spot is going to be the hardest prediction to make.

Locks:
Megan H. 100%
Seejo V. 100%
Ben C. 100%
Laura M. 100%
Kensie S 80%

Clinching
Micheal R.70%
Nate B. 70&

On the Bubble
Carley S. 55%
Alex H. 50%
Amanda L. 35%
Mathew H. 30%
Marshal P 25%

With the confidence scale intact, the Searcey Poll has a 72.5% chance of being perfect. Now time for the other election predictions below

Diversity Interest Senator-at-Large
Lacee G. 100%

beating 4 years of name recognition is pretty much an impossible feat

Business School
Quint H. 75%

Name recognition from last campaign run will get the swing votes he needs.

Pharmacy School
Taylor W. 65%

A relatively quiet campaign with little publicity, this one will be close.

Journalism School
Rachel K. 100%

A write-in campaign against a well known junior seems almost impossible.

Arts and Sciences
Dane B. 55% *

Being a campaign manager for his campaign means that I am biased in my predictions. Winning a write in campaign seems nearly impossible especially against a candidate who has won an at-large campaign before. That being said, Dane has amassed over 330 Drake students in his Facebook group (more than any other candidate's group, even those open to more than the Drake network) and his campaign video and group's wall have become viral and popular. Being a write-in means that the girl in the back of your history class must really know you in order to write you in. It's like The difference between a multiple choice test and the dreaded short answer, the former is about recognition while the latter is about a lasting impression.